FINAL 2024 Oscar Predictions: SUPPORTING ACTRESS

LAFCA, NBR, NSFC, NYFCC, BAFTA, CCA, GG, SAG, Spirit. It’s rare that a sweep like this happens but when it does there’s not much more to do than to celebrate the coronation that’s coming and this season has gone Da’Vine Joy Randolph’s way since day one.

Despite being bought in the Toronto market in 2022, Focus Features opted to kick off The Holdovers at the 2023 Telluride Film Festival (it did play TIFF a few weeks later) and then nearly a dozen others, including SCAD and AFI. But, we were in the middle of the actors strike so Randolph (nor her co-stars) weren’t able to make appearances, do interviews or hold court in a way that is often such a crucial component of the fall festivals, especially awards season films that are onboarded though.

Once the strike lifted on November 9, Randolph was everywhere and in December the full impact of her performance took hold as she very quickly started collecting critics wins. Not simply collecting them, absolutely demolishing them. Starting with National Board of Review, the trifecta of LAFCA/NYFCC/NSFC and every possible regional group went her way. Rachel McAdams made a small dent with Are You There God? It’s Me, Margaret. when she tied with Randolph at LAFCA, but that went nowhere and there was and is simply nothing and no one to stand in her way.

Here are my final 2024 Oscar predictions for Supporting Actress.

SUPPORTING ACTRESS